Recent Articles

Read more about our latest published articles.

Review’s Archive

Corresponding Author:
Safet Kurtovic, Faculty of Management and Business Economics, University of Travnik, Bosnia and Herzegovina

Coauthors:
Sead Talovic, Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Relations of Bosnia and Herzegovina
Blerim Halili, College Pjeter Budi, Department Customs and Freight, Pristina, Kosovo
Nehat Maxhuni, College Biznesi, Department of Economics, Pristina, Kosovo

Liberalization of Trade with the EFTA Countries: Some Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina

Volume 69 - Issue 3, August 2016
(pp. 213-232)
JEL classification: F110, F130, F150
Keywords: Trade Agreements, Liberalization, Trade, Export, Import, Trade Balance

Abstract

This paper's main objective is to study the effect of the liberalization of trade with EFTA countries on trade balance of B&H. It analyzes the time series data for the period 2005-2014. Our theoretical framework includes the gravity model and the econometric technique system of simultaneous equations: Three-Stage Least Squares. The research results show that the liberalization of trade with the EFTA countries has led to an increase of trade flows; however, it has not resulted in a significant convergence in exports and imports i.e. in an equable trade balance. We have concluded that the increase in export from B&H to the EFTA countries is positively affected by the consumer price index, population, signed bilateral agreements and geographical distance between the EFTA countries, while the reduction in import of products to B&H is positively affected by signed bilateral agreements with the EFTA countries. Finally, we have found that the reduction in B&H trade deficit is positively affected by reduced gross domestic product (GDP) of B&H. In the case of other analyzed independent variables affecting trade balance, no positive effects have been registered.


Read the full article

Download the article in PDF format to read and print.


Bibliography

Ahearn, J.R. (2011), “Europe’s Preferential Trade Agreements: Status, Content, and Implications”, Congressional Research Service, CRS Report for Congress, March 3rd.
Aitken, D.N. (1973), “The Effect of the EEC and EFTA on European Trade: A Temporal Cross-Section Analysis”, The American Economic Review, 63(5), 881-892.
Anderson, E.J. (2010), “The Gravity Model”, NBER Working Paper No. 16576.
Arellano, M. (2003), Panel Data Econometrics, Oxford University Press: Oxford .
Avery, G. (1995), “The Commission’s Perspective on the EFTA Accession Negotiations”, SEI Working Paper No. 12.
Baldwin, R. (2011), “Sequencing Regionalism: Theory, European Practice, and Lessons for Asia”, ADB Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration No. 80.
Baldwin, R. and J.A. Venables (1995), Regional Economic Integration, in: G. Grossman, K. Rogoff (Eds), “Handbook of International Economics”, Vol. III, North-Holland/Elsevier: Amsterdam.
Baltagi, H.B. (2008), Econometrics, Fourth Edition, Springer-Verlag: Heidelberg/Berlin.
Barbalet, F., J. Greenville, W. Crook, P. Gretton and R. Breunig (2015), “Exploring the Links between Bilateral and Regional Trade Agreements and Merchandise Trade”, Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies,  2(3), 467-484.
Batra, A. (2004), “India’s Global Trade Potential: The Gravity Model Approach”, ICRIER Working Paper No. 151.
Baudenbacher, C. (2005), “The Implementation of Decisions of the ECJ and of the EFTA Court in Member States’ Domestic Legal Orders”, Texas International Law Journal, 40,  383-416.
Beronilla, N.L., P.J.H. Esguerra  and J. Ocampo (2013), “The Economic Potential Via the Gravity Model of Trade”, Mimeo.
Bhagwati, J. (1993), Regionalism versus Multilateralism, in: J. De Melo, A. Panagariy (Eds), “New Dimensions in Regional Integration”, Cambridge University Press.
Bhagwati, J. and A. Panagariya (1996), “The Theory of Preferential Trade Agreements: Historical Evolution and Current Trends”, The American Economic Review, 86(2), 82-87.
Braha, K., A. Qineti, L. Smutka, E. Matejková and M. Pietriková (2014), EU Accession and Trade Integration: The Gravity Model of Trade in the Case of the EU Candidate Countries, Paper prepared for presentation for the 142nd EAAE Seminar Growing Success: Agriculture and Rural Development in an Enlarged EU, May 29-30.
Caporale, M.G., C. Rault and M.A. Sova (2008), “On the Trade Balance Effects of Free Trade Agreements between the EU-15 and the CEEC-4 Countries”, Working Paper No. 912.
Carrere, C. (2006), “Revisiting the Effects of Regional Trading Agreements on with Proper Specification of the Gravity Model”,  European Economic Review, 50(2), 223-247.
Chaney, T. (2013), “The Gravity Equation in International Trade: An Explanation”, NBER Working Paper 19285.
Cie?lik, A. and A. Hagemejer (2011), “The Effectiveness of Preferential Trade Liberalization in Central and Eastern Europe”, Working Papers No. 21/2011(61).
Cipollina, M. and L. Salvatici (2012), “Reciprocal Trade Agreements in Gravity Models: A Meta-Analysis”, Working Paper 06.
Coulibaly, S. (2009), “Evaluating the Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements: A Semi-Parametric Approach”, Working Paper 4220.
Dee, P. and J. Gali (2005), The Trade and Investment Effects of Preferential Trading Arrangements, in: T. Ito, K.A. Rose (Eds), “International Trade in East Asia, NBER-East Asia Seminar on Economics“, Vol. 14, University of Chicago Press: Chicago and London.
EFTA (2015), Trade Statistics – EFTA - Bosnia-Herzegovina Merchandise Trade – Overview, The European Free Trade Association.
EFTAT (2004), Study of Consequences from Entering into an FTA with EFTA, Part IV: Advice on Trade and Investment Opportunities, The European Free Trade Association Team.
Ferreira, P.M. (1990), “Effects of European Integration on Nordic”, Working Papers No. 279.
Fundira, T. (2007), “The SACU-EFTA Agreement: Current Trading Relationship and Implications”, Tralac Trade Brief  No. 11.
Furusawa, T. and H. Konishi (2007), “Free Trade Networks”, Journal of International Economics, 72(2), 310-335.
Gao, S. (2009), The Predictive Capacity of the Gravity Model of Trade on Foreign Direct Investment, Uppsala University.
Gjipali, A., E. Jorgji and E. Liko (2012), “Intra-Regional Trade in Transitional Economy: Prospects from South-Eastern Europe European Perspectives”, Journal on European Perspective of the Western Balkans,  4(2), 15-40.
Henningsen, A. and D.J. Hamann (2007), “Systemfit: A Package for Estimating Systems of Simultaneous Equations in R”, Journal of Statistical Software, 23(4), 1-45.
Krishna, P. (1998), “Regionalism and Multilateralism”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(1),  227-251.
Lipsey, G.R. (1957), “The Theory of Customs Unions: Trade Diversion and Welfare”, Economica, New Series, 24(93), 40-46.
Magee, S.P.C. (2008), “New Measures of Trade Creation and Trade Diversion”, Journal of International Economics,  75,(2), 349-362.
Mansfield, D.E., V. Helen and V.H. Milner (1999), “The New Wave of Regionalism”, International Organization, 53(3), 590-627.
Matta, A. (2014), EU Differentiated Integration Frameworks – Has the EU Learnt its Lesson in the Eastern Neighborhood?, UACES 44th Annual Conference, Cork, 1-3 September.
McFadden, D. (1999), Chapter 6 Simultaneous Equations, Lecture Notes for Economics 240B , University of Berkeley, CA.
Mihashi, K. (2009), “The Effect of Regional Trade Agreements on the Global Economy and Society, Master of Thesis”, The Graduate School of Arts and Sciences at Georgetown University.
Mukunoki, H. (2005), “Understanding the Effects of Preferential Trade Agreements: A Theoretical Overview”, Bulletin of Gakushuin University Research Institute of Economics and Management, 19, 31-51.
Park, I. and S. Park (2008), “Free Trade Agreements versus Customs Unions: An Examination of East Asia”, MPRA Paper No. 11301.
Robinson, S. and K. Thierfelder (1999), “Trade Liberalization and Regional Integration: The Search for Large Numbers”, TMD Discussion Paper No. 34.
Saggi, K., A. Stoyanov and M.H. Yildiz (2015), Do Free Trade Agreements Affect Tariffs of Non-Member Countries? A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
Schmieding, H. (1989), “Between Perestroika and Internal Market 1992: A New Role for EFTA”, Kiel Working Paper No. 370.
SGBIHMU (2014), Sporazum o slobodnoj trgovini izme?u država Evropskog udruženja slobodne trgovine i BiH, Službeni Glasnik BiH – Me?unarodni ugovori, Br. 18, Sarajevo.
Snorrason, S.T. (2012), “Asymmetric Economic Integration, Contributions to Economics”, Chapter 2, The Theory of Trade Agreements, Economic Integration, Size of Economies, Trade Costs and Welfare, Springer-Verlag: Heidelberg/Berlin.
Spies, J. and H. Marques (2006), “Trade Effects of the Europe Agreements”, Diskussionsbfitrage Nr. 274.
Srinivasan, T.N. (2002), “Developing Countries and the Multilateral Trading System after Doha”, Center Discussion Paper No. 842.
Stevens, C., I. Irfan, I. Massa and J. Kennan (2015), “The Impact of Free Trade Agreements between Developed and Developing Countries on Economic Development in Developing Countries: A Rapid Evidence Assessment”, Overseas Development Institute: London.
Trocan, M.L. (2010), “The European Free Trade Association – 50 Years of Existence”, Seria ?tiin?e Juridice, 1, 141-164.
Van Randwyck, H. (2011), “FTA or the EU”, The Bruges Group.
Viner, J. (1950), The Customs Unions Issue, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: New York.
WTO (2015), Regional Trade Agreements: Facts and Figures,  World Trade Organization, <https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/region_e/regfac_e.htm>.
Zahariadis, Y. (2007), “The Effects of the Albania-EU Stabilization and Association Agreement: Economic Impact and Social Implications”, ESAU Working Paper 17.
 

Register your account

First-time users should click on “Register your account” and enter the requested information. Upon successful registration, you will receive an e-mail with instructions to verify your registration.

Submission Guidelines

Authors’ login

Use the assigned user ID and password to login. Please, do not register again. Usernames and passwords may be changed after.

Quick search by author:
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
Back to the top

Institute for International Economics
of the Genoa Chamber of Commerce


Istituto di Economia Internazionale
Camera di Commercio di Genova
Via Garibaldi, 4 (III piano) - 16124 Genova (Italy)
www.ge.camcom.gov.it