Recent Articles

Read more about our latest published articles.

Review’s Archive

Corresponding Author:
Oluwole Owoye, Department of Social Sciences, Western Connecticut State University, Danbury, Connecticut, USA

Coauthors:
Olugbenga A. ONAFOWORA, Department of Economics, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, Pennsylvania, USA

United States-China Trade War and the Emergence of Global COVID-19 Pandemic

Volume 73 - Issue 4, November 2020
(pp. 435-466)
JEL classification: F13, F51, F53, O34, O38, O57
Keywords: Trade Wars, Infectious Diseases, COVID-19, Collaboration, Information Sharing

Abstract

This paper asserts that the retaliatory trade wars between the United States and China contributed to the emergence of the global COVID-19 pandemic because the trade wars hindered the collaboration, coordination, and transparent information sharing about infectious diseases that could have adverse effects on the global economy. The retaliatory trade wars between the two largest economies in the world turned the symmetric information sharing about global infectious diseases to asymmetric information sharing, thus the inability to prepare for the emergence of the current global COVID-19 pandemic shock. In the first two decades of the 21st century, the World Health Organization (WHO) in collaboration, coordination, and transparent information sharing with global health care systems managed to curtail the outbreaks of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2002-2003, H1N1 in 2009, Ebola in 2014, Zika in 2015, Dengue in 2016, and other deadly infectious diseases. We maintain that the symmetric information sharing enabled the WHO and the other global health care systems to build the firewall against these deadly infectious diseases. The absence of collaboration, coordination, and the symmetric information sharing due to the trade wars forced both countries to resort to information distortions; therefore, the inability to prepare for the global COVID-19 pandemic. Using conceptual economics, we show that the confluence of the retaliatory trade wars and COVID-19 pandemic has significant negative ramifications on economies worldwide.  


Read the full article

Download the article in PDF format to read and print.


Bibliography

Amiti, M., S.J. Redding and D.E. Weinstein (2019), “The Impact of the 2018 Tariffs on Prices and Welfare”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(4), 187-210.

Bloom, D.E. and D. Cadarette (2019), “Infectious Disease Threats in the Twenty-First Century:  Strengthening the Global Response”, Frontiers in Immunology, 10(549), 1-12.

Bown, C.P. (2017a) “Trump’s Threat of Steel Tariffs Heralds Big Changes in Trade Policy”, Washington Post, Monkey Cage, April 21.

Bown, C.P. (2017b), “Rogue 301: Trump to Dust Off another Outdated US Trade Law?”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 3. 

Bown, C.P. (2018), “Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs Are Counterproductive. Here Are 5 More Things You Need to Know”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 7.

Bown, C.P. (2020a), “Trump’s Trade Policy is Hampering the US Fight against COVID-19”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 13.

Bown, C.P. (2020b), “COVID-19: Trump’s Curbs on Exports on Medical Gear Put American and Others at Risk”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, April 9.

Bown, C.P. and C. Cimino-Isaacs (2017), “Will Trump Invoke National Security to Start a Trade War?”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 5.

Bown, C.P. and D.A. Irwin (2019), “Trump’s Assault on the Global Trading System and Why Decoupling From China Will Change Everything”, Foreign Affairs (September/October).

Bown, C.P. and J. Joseph (2017), “Solar and Washing Machine Safeguards in Context: The History of US Section 201 Use”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, October 31.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung and Z. Lu (2018a), “Trump, China, and Tariffs: From Soybeans to Semiconductors”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 18.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung and Z. Lu (2018b), “China’s Retaliation to Trump’s Tariffs”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 22.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung, and Z. Lu (2018c), “Harley Is a Tariff Trend Setter – But Not in a Good Way”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 29.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung and Z. Lu (2018d), “Canada Strikes Back! Here Is a Breakdown”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 5.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung and Z. Lu (2018e), “Trump’s Latest $200 Billion Tariffs on China Threaten a Big Blow to American Consumers”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 13.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung and Z. (Lucy) Lu (2018f), “Trump’s $262 Billion China Tariff Threat Plays with the Bank’s Money”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 24.

Bown, C.P., Z. Lu and J.J. Schott (2018g), “China’s $60 Billion Tariff Announcement”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 15.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung and Z. Lu (2018h), “Trump and China Formalize Tariffs on $260 Billion of Imports and Look Ahead to Next Phase”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, September 20.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung, and E. Zhang (2018i), “Trump’s Steel Tariffs Have Hit Smaller and Poorer Countries the Hardest”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 15.

Bown, C.P., E. Jung, and E. Zhang (2019), “Trump Has Gotten China to Lower Its Tariffs. Just Toward Everyone Else”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 12.

Bown, C.P. and M. Kolb (2020), “Trump’s Trade War Timeline:  An Up-to-Date Guide”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 13.

Bown, C.P. and E. Zhang (2018), “First Tariffs, Then Subsidies: Soybeans Illustrate Trump’s Wrongfooted Approach on Trade”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, July 30.

Bown, C.P. and E. Zhang (2019a), “Measuring Trump’s 2018 Trade Protection: Five Takeaways”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, February 15.

Bown, C.P. and E. Zhang (2019b), “Will a US-China Trade Deal Remove or Just Restructure the Massive 2018 Tariffs?”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, April 24.

Bown, C.P. and E. Zhang (2019c), “Trump’s 2019 Protection Could Push China Back to Smoot-Hawley Tariff Levels”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 14. 

Cavallo, A., G. Gopinath, B. Neiman and J. Tang (2019), “Tariffs Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy”, <https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication%20Files/CGNT_c5c09860-3aad-4f6b-b610-20754cdc11a8.pdf>.

Fajgelbaum, P.D., P.K. Goldberg, P.J. Kennedy, and A.K. Khandelwal (2019), “The Return to Protectionism”, NBER Working Paper 25638.

Flaaen, A.B., A. Hortaçsu and F. Tintelnot (2019), “The Production Relocation and Price Effects of U.S. Trade Policy:  The Case of Washing Machines”, NBER Working Paper 25767.

González, A. (2019), “Tariffs on Mexican Products Will Not Curb Migration from Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador; Prosperity Will”, Realtime Economic Issues Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 7.

Hillier, B. (1997), The Economics of Asymmetric Information, Palgrave MacMillan: New York .

Hufbauer, G.C. (2016), Could a President Trump Shackle Imports, in: M. Noland, G.C. Hufbauer, S. Robinson, T. Moran (Eds), “Assessing Trade Agendas in the US Presidential Campaign”, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Chapter 2, pp. 40-44.

Hufbauer, G.C. and E. Jung (2018), “Steel Profits Gain, but Steel Users Pay, under Trump’s Protectionism”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 20.

Hufbauer, G.C. and J.C. Woollacott (2010), “Trade Disputes Between China and the United States: Growing Pains so Far, Worse Ahead?”, Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 10-17.

 Lovely, M.E. and Y. Liang (2018), “Revised Tariffs Against China Hit Non-Chinese Supply Chains Even Harder”, PIIE Charts, Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 18.

Lu, Z. (Lucy), and J.J. Schott (2018), “How Is China Retaliating for US National Security Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum?”, PIIE Chart, Peterson Institute for International Economics, April 9. 

Noland, M. (2016), A Diminished Leadership Role for the United States, in: M. Noland, G.C. Hufbauer, S. Robinson, T. Moran (Eds), “Assessing Trade Agendas in the US Presidential Campaign”, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Chapter 1, pp. 5-16.

Noland, M., S. Robinson and T. Moran (2016), Impact of Clinton’s and Trump’s Trade Proposals, in: M. Noland, G.C. Hufbauer, S. Robinson, T. Moran (Eds),  “Assessing Trade Agendas in the US Presidential Campaign”, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Chapter 2, pp. 17-39.

Robinson, S., K. Thierfelder, J.J. Schott, E. Jung and Z. (Lucy) Lu (2018), “Trump’s Proposed Auto Tariffs Would Throw US Automakers and Workers Under the Bus”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 31.

Schott, J.J (2019), “Next Up in the Trade Wars: Autos”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, February 21.

Schott, J.J. and Z. (Lucy) Lu (2018), “Korea Steel Deal Means More US Steel Barriers Lie Ahead”, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 28. 

Strauss, J. and D. Thomas (1998), “Health, Nutrition, and Economic Development”, Journal of Economic Literature, 36(2), 766-817.

USTR (2019), “$300 Billion Trade Action (Proposed List 4)”, Office of the United States Trade Representative, Washington - <https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/enforcement/section-301-investigations/section-301-china/300- billion-trade-action> .

Weil, D.N. (2013), Economic Growth, 3rd Edition, Addison-Wesley Pearson Publisher: Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.

Whaples, R. (1995), “Where Is There Consensus Among American Economic Historians?  The Results of a Survey on Forty Propositions”, Journal of Economic History, 55(1), 139-154.

Register your account

First-time users should click on “Register your account” and enter the requested information. Upon successful registration, you will receive an e-mail with instructions to verify your registration.

Submission Guidelines

Authors’ login

Use the assigned user ID and password to login. Please, do not register again. Usernames and passwords may be changed after.

Quick search by author:
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
Back to the top

Institute for International Economics
of the Genoa Chamber of Commerce


Istituto di Economia Internazionale
Camera di Commercio di Genova
Via Garibaldi, 4 (III piano) - 16124 Genova (Italy)
www.ge.camcom.gov.it